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Value-at-Risk estimation with stochastic interest rate models for option-bond portfolios

  • Xiaoyu Wang
  • , Dejun Xie*
  • , Jingjing Jiang
  • , Xiaoxia Wu
  • , Jia He
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Southern University of Science and Technology
  • University of Texas at Austin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This article proposes a Monte Carlo simulation based approach for measuring Value-at-Risk of a portfolio consisting of options and bonds. The approach allows for jump-diffusions in underlying assets and affords to fit a variety of model layout, including both non-parametric and semi-parametric structures. Backtesting was conducted to assess the effectiveness of the method. The algorithm was tested against various trading positions, time horizons, and correlations between asset prices and market return rates. A prominent advantage of our approach is that its implementation does not require prior knowledge of the joint distribution or other statistical features of the related risk factors.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)10-20
Number of pages11
JournalFinance Research Letters
Volume21
DOIs
StatePublished - May 2017
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model
  • Delta–Gamma approximation
  • Monte Carlo simulation
  • Value-at-Risk
  • Vasicek model

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