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TimeStacker: A Novel Framework with Multilevel Observation for Capturing Nonstationary Patterns in Time Series Forecasting

  • Faculty of Computing, Harbin Institute of Technology

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

Abstract

Real-world time series inherently exhibit significant non-stationarity, posing substantial challenges for forecasting. To address this issue, this paper proposes a novel prediction framework, TimeStacker, designed to overcome the limitations of existing models in capturing the characteristics of non-stationary signals. By employing a unique stacking mechanism, TimeStacker effectively captures global signal features while thoroughly exploring local details. Furthermore, the framework integrates a frequency-based self-attention module, significantly enhancing its feature modeling capabilities. Experimental results demonstrate that TimeStacker achieves outstanding performance across multiple real-world datasets, including those from the energy, finance, and weather domains. It not only delivers superior predictive accuracy but also exhibits remarkable advantages with fewer parameters and higher computational efficiency.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)39929-39946
Number of pages18
JournalProceedings of Machine Learning Research
Volume267
StatePublished - 2025
Externally publishedYes
Event42nd International Conference on Machine Learning, ICML 2025 - Vancouver, Canada
Duration: 13 Jul 202519 Jul 2025

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