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The research of household probability distribution and trip production forecast based on trip characteristics of household

  • School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Household probability distribution and the trip production forecast models based on the trip characteristics of a household are discussed by applying the methodologies of cluster analysis, cross-classification method as well as probability theory. Data are obtained from a home interview origin-destination survey in Jinzhou, Liaoning province, China, financially supported by a World Bank investment project. Firstly, the households are classified to 6 categories by the hierarchical cluster analysis. Then, the household distribution probability models which contain the independent variables of household income, car ownership (i.e., vehicles available per household), and household size (i.e., number of persons per household), are calibrated by regression analysis for each type of these six kinds of household. Lastly, the trip production models based on cross-classification methods and the probability methods are established.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 8th International Conference of Chinese Logistics and Transportation Professionals - Logistics
Subtitle of host publicationThe Emerging Frontiers of Transportation and Development in China
Pages4134-4140
Number of pages7
DOIs
StatePublished - 2008
Externally publishedYes
Event8th International Conference of Chinese Logistics and Transportation Professionals - Logistics: The Emerging Frontiers of Transportation and Development in China - Chengdu, China
Duration: 31 Jul 20083 Aug 2008

Publication series

NameProceedings of the 8th International Conference of Chinese Logistics and Transportation Professionals - Logistics: The Emerging Frontiers of Transportation and Development in China

Conference

Conference8th International Conference of Chinese Logistics and Transportation Professionals - Logistics: The Emerging Frontiers of Transportation and Development in China
Country/TerritoryChina
CityChengdu
Period31/07/083/08/08

Keywords

  • Cluster analysis
  • Cross-classification
  • Probability model of household distribution
  • Trip characteristic
  • Trip production forecast

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