The Remaining Useful Life Prediction by Using Electrochemical Model in the Particle Filter Framework for Lithium-Ion Batteries

The remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is critical for the safe and reliable operation of lithium-ion battery (LIB) systems, which characterizes the aging status of the battery and provides early warning for battery replacement. Most existing RUL prediction methods rely on empirical aging models, and the role of the battery mechanism is not considered in the subsequent algorithm settings. The accuracy and stability of data-driven algorithms are severely limited by battery aging data. A new electrochemical-model-based particle filter (PF) framework for LIB RUL prediction is proposed in this paper. Parameters of a simplified electrochemical model (SEM) are used as state variables of the PF algorithm and these parameters can be identified by applying specially designed current excitations to the battery. The SEM-based capacity simulation process is taken as the observation equation in the PF algorithm framework. Therefore, the mechanism of the battery is fully considered when making the RUL prediction. The proposed method is validated through cyclic aging experiment of a cylindrical LFP/graphite LIB of 45Ah. The accuracy of the method is compared with a data-driven-based PF framework for RUL prediction and shows better accuracy and stability, which provides a choice for achieving high-quality RUL prediction.