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Social media effect, investor recognition and the cross-section of stock returns

  • Xiangtong Meng
  • , Wei Zhang
  • , Youwei Li
  • , Xing Cao
  • , Xu Feng*
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Tianjin University
  • China Center for Social Computing and Analytics
  • University of Hull

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Investor recognition affects cross-sectional stock returns. In informationally incomplete markets, investors have limited recognition of all securities, and their holding of stocks with low recognition requires compensation for being imperfectly diversified. Using the number of posts on the Chinese social media platform Guba to measure investor recognition of stocks, this paper provides a direct test of Merton's investor recognition hypothesis. We find a significant social media premium in the Chinese stock market. We further find that including a social media factor based on this premium significantly improves the explanatory power of Fama-French factor models of cross-sectional stock returns, and these results are robust when we control for the mass media effect and liquidity effect. Finally, we find that investment strategies based on the social media factor earn sizable risk-adjusted returns, which signifies the importance of the social media premium in portfolio management.

Original languageEnglish
Article number101432
JournalInternational Review of Financial Analysis
Volume67
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2020
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Asset pricing
  • Investor recognition
  • Social media

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