Seismic hazard analysis based on fuzzy-probabilistic approach

Jelena M. Andrić; Dagang Lu

doi:10.7712/120117.5739.17539

Seismic hazard analysis based on fuzzy-probabilistic approach

Jelena M. Andrić
, Dagang Lu

School of Civil Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

3 Scopus citations

Abstract

China is a country prone to frequent earthquakes due to geography and climate complexity. The task of seismic hazard analysis is to estimate the potential level of ground motion parameters that would be produced by future earthquakes. In this paper, a novel method for seismic hazard analysis is proposed based on the fuzzy probabilistic approach. The earthquake magnitude and source-to-site distance are defined as fuzzy-random variables. Further, Cornell model is applied to evaluate the ground motion and the fuzzy-probability of exceedance of the peak ground acceleration level. The advantage of the fuzzy probabilistic seismic hazard analysis model over the traditional deterministic and probabilistic seismic hazard models is that it considers two types of uncertainties, aleatory and epistemic. The proposed model investigates the seismic hazard of Kunming, the capital of Yunnan province in China.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering
Editors	M. Papadrakakis, Michalis Fragiadakis
Publisher	National Technical University of Athens
Pages	4480-4495
Number of pages	16
ISBN (Electronic)	9786188284425
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.7712/120117.5739.17539
State	Published - 2017
Externally published	Yes
Event	6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, COMPDYN 2017 - Rhodes Island, Greece Duration: 15 Jun 2017 → 17 Jun 2017

Publication series

Name	COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering
Volume	2

Conference

Conference	6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, COMPDYN 2017
Country/Territory	Greece
City	Rhodes Island
Period	15/06/17 → 17/06/17

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

Earthquakes
Fuzzy sets
Fuzzy-probability
Ground motion
Peak ground acceleration
Seismic Hazard analysis
Yunnan Province

Access to Document

10.7712/120117.5739.17539

Cite this

Andrić, J. M., & Lu, D. (2017). Seismic hazard analysis based on fuzzy-probabilistic approach. In M. Papadrakakis, & M. Fragiadakis (Eds.), COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering (pp. 4480-4495). (COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering; Vol. 2). National Technical University of Athens. https://doi.org/10.7712/120117.5739.17539

Andrić, Jelena M. ; Lu, Dagang. / Seismic hazard analysis based on fuzzy-probabilistic approach. COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. editor / M. Papadrakakis ; Michalis Fragiadakis. National Technical University of Athens, 2017. pp. 4480-4495 (COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering).

@inproceedings{67f3f88c6fb341e386df0fcd05afb221,

title = "Seismic hazard analysis based on fuzzy-probabilistic approach",

abstract = "China is a country prone to frequent earthquakes due to geography and climate complexity. The task of seismic hazard analysis is to estimate the potential level of ground motion parameters that would be produced by future earthquakes. In this paper, a novel method for seismic hazard analysis is proposed based on the fuzzy probabilistic approach. The earthquake magnitude and source-to-site distance are defined as fuzzy-random variables. Further, Cornell model is applied to evaluate the ground motion and the fuzzy-probability of exceedance of the peak ground acceleration level. The advantage of the fuzzy probabilistic seismic hazard analysis model over the traditional deterministic and probabilistic seismic hazard models is that it considers two types of uncertainties, aleatory and epistemic. The proposed model investigates the seismic hazard of Kunming, the capital of Yunnan province in China.",

keywords = "Earthquakes, Fuzzy sets, Fuzzy-probability, Ground motion, Peak ground acceleration, Seismic Hazard analysis, Yunnan Province",

author = "Andri{\'c}, \{Jelena M.\} and Dagang Lu",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2017 National Technical University of Athens. All rights reserved.; 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, COMPDYN 2017 ; Conference date: 15-06-2017 Through 17-06-2017",

year = "2017",

doi = "10.7712/120117.5739.17539",

language = "英语",

series = "COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering",

publisher = "National Technical University of Athens",

pages = "4480--4495",

editor = "M. Papadrakakis and Michalis Fragiadakis",

booktitle = "COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering",

address = "希腊",

}

Andrić, JM & Lu, D 2017, Seismic hazard analysis based on fuzzy-probabilistic approach. in M Papadrakakis & M Fragiadakis (eds), COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, vol. 2, National Technical University of Athens, pp. 4480-4495, 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, COMPDYN 2017, Rhodes Island, Greece, 15/06/17. https://doi.org/10.7712/120117.5739.17539

Seismic hazard analysis based on fuzzy-probabilistic approach. / Andrić, Jelena M.; Lu, Dagang.
COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. ed. / M. Papadrakakis; Michalis Fragiadakis. National Technical University of Athens, 2017. p. 4480-4495 (COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering; Vol. 2).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

TY - GEN

T1 - Seismic hazard analysis based on fuzzy-probabilistic approach

AU - Andrić, Jelena M.

AU - Lu, Dagang

PY - 2017

Y1 - 2017

N2 - China is a country prone to frequent earthquakes due to geography and climate complexity. The task of seismic hazard analysis is to estimate the potential level of ground motion parameters that would be produced by future earthquakes. In this paper, a novel method for seismic hazard analysis is proposed based on the fuzzy probabilistic approach. The earthquake magnitude and source-to-site distance are defined as fuzzy-random variables. Further, Cornell model is applied to evaluate the ground motion and the fuzzy-probability of exceedance of the peak ground acceleration level. The advantage of the fuzzy probabilistic seismic hazard analysis model over the traditional deterministic and probabilistic seismic hazard models is that it considers two types of uncertainties, aleatory and epistemic. The proposed model investigates the seismic hazard of Kunming, the capital of Yunnan province in China.

AB - China is a country prone to frequent earthquakes due to geography and climate complexity. The task of seismic hazard analysis is to estimate the potential level of ground motion parameters that would be produced by future earthquakes. In this paper, a novel method for seismic hazard analysis is proposed based on the fuzzy probabilistic approach. The earthquake magnitude and source-to-site distance are defined as fuzzy-random variables. Further, Cornell model is applied to evaluate the ground motion and the fuzzy-probability of exceedance of the peak ground acceleration level. The advantage of the fuzzy probabilistic seismic hazard analysis model over the traditional deterministic and probabilistic seismic hazard models is that it considers two types of uncertainties, aleatory and epistemic. The proposed model investigates the seismic hazard of Kunming, the capital of Yunnan province in China.

KW - Earthquakes

KW - Fuzzy sets

KW - Fuzzy-probability

KW - Ground motion

KW - Peak ground acceleration

KW - Seismic Hazard analysis

KW - Yunnan Province

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85042308585

U2 - 10.7712/120117.5739.17539

DO - 10.7712/120117.5739.17539

M3 - 会议稿件

AN - SCOPUS:85042308585

T3 - COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering

SP - 4480

EP - 4495

BT - COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering

A2 - Papadrakakis, M.

A2 - Fragiadakis, Michalis

PB - National Technical University of Athens

T2 - 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, COMPDYN 2017

Y2 - 15 June 2017 through 17 June 2017

ER -

Andrić JM, Lu D. Seismic hazard analysis based on fuzzy-probabilistic approach. In Papadrakakis M, Fragiadakis M, editors, COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering. National Technical University of Athens. 2017. p. 4480-4495. (COMPDYN 2017 - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Methods in Structural Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering). doi: 10.7712/120117.5739.17539

Seismic hazard analysis based on fuzzy-probabilistic approach

Abstract

Publication series

Conference

UN SDGs

Keywords

Access to Document

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Cite this