Abstract
Modern smart grids face significant challenges in short-term load forecasting due to increasing complexity across transmission, distribution, and consumer levels. While recent studies have explored large language models for load forecasting, existing methods are limited by computational overhead, voltage-level specificity, and inadequate cross-domain generalization. This paper introduces Multi-Voltage Load Forecasting Large Model (MVLFLM), a unified Transformer-based framework that addresses multi-voltage STLF through parameter-efficient fine-tuning of a Llama 2-7B foundation model. Unlike previous LLM-based forecasting methods that focus on single voltage levels or require extensive retraining, MVLFLM employs selective layer freezing to preserve pre-trained knowledge while adapting only essential parameters for load pattern recognition. Comprehensive evaluation across four real-world datasets spanning high (transmission), medium (distribution), and low (consumer) voltage levels demonstrates MVLFLM's superior performance, achieving higher performance than benchmarks. Most significantly, MVLFLM exhibits exceptional zero-shot generalization with only 9.07% average performance degradation when applied to unseen grid entities, substantially outperforming existing methods. These results establish MVLFLM as the unified, computationally efficient solution for multi-voltage load forecasting that maintains forecasting accuracy while enabling seamless deployment across heterogeneous smart grid infrastructures.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 100651 |
| Journal | Energy and AI |
| Volume | 22 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Dec 2025 |
| Externally published | Yes |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy
Keywords
- Large language model
- Multi-voltage forecasting
- Parameter-efficient fine-tuning
- Short-term load forecasting
- Smart grids
- Zero-shot learning
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