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MVLFLM: A parameter-efficient large language model framework for cross-domain multi-voltage load forecasting in smart grids

  • Guolong Liu
  • , Yan Bai
  • , Huan Zhao
  • , Keen Wen
  • , Xinlei Wang
  • , Jinjin Gu
  • , Yanli Liu*
  • , Gaoqi Liang
  • , Junhua Zhao
  • , Zhao Yang Dong
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Nanyang Technological University
  • Shenzhen Institute of Artificial Intelligence and Robotics for Society
  • The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen
  • Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  • The University of Sydney
  • Tianjin University
  • Harbin Institute of Technology Shenzhen

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Modern smart grids face significant challenges in short-term load forecasting due to increasing complexity across transmission, distribution, and consumer levels. While recent studies have explored large language models for load forecasting, existing methods are limited by computational overhead, voltage-level specificity, and inadequate cross-domain generalization. This paper introduces Multi-Voltage Load Forecasting Large Model (MVLFLM), a unified Transformer-based framework that addresses multi-voltage STLF through parameter-efficient fine-tuning of a Llama 2-7B foundation model. Unlike previous LLM-based forecasting methods that focus on single voltage levels or require extensive retraining, MVLFLM employs selective layer freezing to preserve pre-trained knowledge while adapting only essential parameters for load pattern recognition. Comprehensive evaluation across four real-world datasets spanning high (transmission), medium (distribution), and low (consumer) voltage levels demonstrates MVLFLM's superior performance, achieving higher performance than benchmarks. Most significantly, MVLFLM exhibits exceptional zero-shot generalization with only 9.07% average performance degradation when applied to unseen grid entities, substantially outperforming existing methods. These results establish MVLFLM as the unified, computationally efficient solution for multi-voltage load forecasting that maintains forecasting accuracy while enabling seamless deployment across heterogeneous smart grid infrastructures.

Original languageEnglish
Article number100651
JournalEnergy and AI
Volume22
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2025
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
    SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy

Keywords

  • Large language model
  • Multi-voltage forecasting
  • Parameter-efficient fine-tuning
  • Short-term load forecasting
  • Smart grids
  • Zero-shot learning

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