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Machine learning-assisted creep life prediction and empirical formula generation for 9-12% Cr steel

  • Harbin Institute of Technology
  • Harbin Institute of Technology Shenzhen
  • School of Computer Science and Technology, Harbin Institute of Technology
  • Xinjiang Technical Institute of Physics and Chemistry
  • University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
  • Ltd.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The creep behavior of steels is influenced by factors such as lattice structure, defects, and stress conditions. Given the high cost and time required for creep tests, accurately predicting creep life and minimum creep rate is essential. This study analyzed 9–12% chromium (Cr) steel using a dataset of 1496 entries covering material composition, mechanical properties, minimum creep rate, and creep life. Nine machine learning (ML) models were developed, with the artificial neural network (ANN) achieving the highest prediction accuracy, evidenced by a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.9973 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.045. A dual-target neural network model provided R2 values of 0.9853 for creep life and 0.9838 for minimum creep rate. Additionally, an empirical equation based on gene expression programming (GEP) achieved an R2 exceeding 0.9741. This study offers novel insights into the design of 9–12% Cr steel with enhanced creep life.

Original languageEnglish
Article number116480
JournalScripta Materialia
Volume257
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Mar 2025

Keywords

  • Creep empirical equation
  • Creep life
  • Machine learning
  • Minimum creep rate

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