Abstract
In this paper, a multistage susceptible-infectious-recovered model with distributed delays and nonlinear incidence rate is investigated, which extends the model considered by Guo et al. [H. Guo, M. Y. Li and Z. Shuai, Global dynamics of a general class of multistage models for infectious diseases, SIAM J. Appl. Math., 72 (2012), 261–279]. Under some appropriate and realistic conditions, the global dynamics is completely determined by the basic reproduction number R0. If R0 ≤ 1, then the infection-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease dies out in all stages. If R0 > 1, then a unique endemic equilibrium exists, and it is globally asymptotically stable, and hence the disease persists in all stages. The results are proved by utilizing the theory of non-negative matrices, Lyapunov functionals, and the graph-theoretical approach.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 2153-2164 |
| Number of pages | 12 |
| Journal | Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences |
| Volume | 40 |
| Issue number | 6 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - 1 Apr 2017 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
Keywords
- Distributed delay
- Epidemiology
- Global stability
- Lyapunov functional
- Multistage SIR model
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