Abstract
Multivariate time series forecasting is essential for applications such as financial analysis and environmental monitoring. However, achieving robust forecasting remains challenging due to two fundamental issues: (1) real-world time series exhibit heterogeneous temporal patterns across different frequency bands, where low-frequency components contain long-range structures while high-frequency components are dominated by local variations and noise; (2) inter-variable dependencies are easily distorted by spurious correlations introduced by noisy or unreliable channels. To address these challenges, we propose FDM-Net, a frequency-decoupled forecasting architecture that assigns specialized modeling strategies to different frequency bands. The low-frequency branch captures global temporal dependencies and stable channel interactions, whereas the high-frequency branch focuses on local pattern extraction and noise suppression. To further enhance variable-dependency modeling, FDM-Net incorporates an adaptive masking mechanism that filters unreliable channel relationships before attention aggregation. In addition, we introduce a hybrid wavelet–time loss that enforces consistency between the frequency-domain structure and time-domain predictions. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world benchmarks demonstrate that FDM-Net achieves state-of-the-art forecasting performance while maintaining high computational efficiency, making it a practical and robust solution for real-world deployments.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 133820 |
| Journal | Expert Systems with Applications |
| Volume | 333 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - 1 Jan 2027 |
Keywords
- Channel-dependency modeling
- Frequency-decoupled forecasting
- Time series forecasting
- Wavelet transform
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