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Failure Rate Modeling and Assessment of Distribution Network Equipment under Typhoon-Rainstorm Compound Disasters

  • Lichaozheng Qin
  • , Yufeng Guo*
  • , Hao Chen
  • , Xinyao Zheng
  • , Jiangtao Zeng
  • , Lai Jiang
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Harbin Institute of Technology
  • Ltd.

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

Abstract

To address the limited accuracy of traditional single-hazard models in equipment-level fault risk assessment of distribution networks, this paper proposes a novel failure rate analysis method under typhoon-rainstorm compound disasters. A compound disaster scenario is first constructed to investigate the impact mechanism of such disasters on distribution network equipment. Then, the failure probability is quantified based on the stress-strength interference model. The proposed method enhances both the accuracy and comprehensiveness of fault probability assessment under compound disaster scenarios, and provides theoretical guidance and technical support for disaster-prevention planning and emergency dispatch of regional distribution networks.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)766-772
Number of pages7
JournalIET Conference Proceedings
Volume2025
Issue number58
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Jul 2026
Event5th Energy Conversion and Economics Annual Forum, ECE 2025 - Beijing, China
Duration: 28 Nov 202529 Nov 2025

Keywords

  • Distribution Network
  • Failure Rate
  • Rainstorm
  • Reliability
  • Typhoon

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