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Exchange rate volatility and foreign direct investment: do bilateral investment treaties matter?

  • Shi Li
  • , Rui Li*
  • , Yuming Cui*
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Shandong University
  • School of Economics and Finance
  • School of Economics and Management, Harbin Institute of Technology Shenzhen

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This article attempts to investigate whether exchange rate volatility suppresses outward foreign direct investment and how to mitigate such adverse effects. Using OFDI data from six Asia Emerging Market Countries, the estimation results based on conditional logit model suggest that exchange rate volatility hinders firms of emerging market countries from investing in host countries. More importantly, we further demonstrate that bilateral investment treaties can mitigate such adverse effects of exchange rate volatility on FDI activities. Our results indicate that signing BITs with emerging market countries is beneficial to attracting FDI inflows, which is illuminating particularly when exchange rate volatilities are higher.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1789-1795
Number of pages7
JournalApplied Economics Letters
Volume33
Issue number11
DOIs
StatePublished - 2026
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 10 - Reduced Inequalities
    SDG 10 Reduced Inequalities

Keywords

  • Exchange rate volatility
  • bilateral investment treaties
  • emerging market countries
  • foreign direct investment

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