Consistency analysis between technology plans and reduction target on CO₂ emissions from China's power sector in 2020

Based on existing energy saving technology plans in the power sector of China, the CO₂ emissions in 2020 was projected to reach 3532, 3915 and 4320 million ton respectively in 3 different scenarios, e.g. high-speed development, baseline scenario and low-speed development, provided that all the planning objectives were achieved. According to China's CO₂ intensity reduction commitments, the CO₂ emission target in 2020 was expected to reach 9730~12796 million ton in accordance with different GDP growth rate. Combining the above results, consistency between technology plans and reduction target required the emission rate of power sector to be between 33.27% and 36.82%, which means the total carbon emissions of the power sector was able to complete the decomposition of national carbon intensity reduction target provided that all the energy saving technology planning objectives were achieved irrespective of the GDP growth rate.