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“AI-MCMC” for the parametric analysis of the hormonal therapy of cancer

  • Fuzhang Wang
  • , M. Idrees
  • , Ayesha Sohail*
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Nanchang Institute of Technology
  • Xuzhou Institute of Technology
  • COMSATS University Islamabad

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Over the past few decades, there have been significant advances in clinical, experimental, and theoretical frameworks for understanding cancer cells’ complexities and their interactions with the immune system. Breast cancer progression is associated with estrogen signalling and the estrogen receptor (ER), and the majority of human breast cancers originate as estrogen-dependent. Additionally, mounting data indicate that ER signalling is complicated, comprising both coregulatory proteins and extranuclear actions. This paper deals with a mathematical model of the tumour-immune response incorporating anti-tumour cytokines and estrogen. The designed model is formulated based on a detailed phenomenological description of the kinetic theory of tumour, immune system and estrogen. The experimental studies are used to estimate the model's parameters, and the Lyapunov approach is used to determine the stability of equilibrium points. Monte-Carlo-Markov-Chain (MCMC) methods have been used extensively to deal with the nonlinear fractals, and in the field of artificial intelligence for the evaluation of the parameters. In this manuscript, the sensitivity analysis is conducted to assess the parameters’ uncertainty with the aid of AI-MCMC toolbox. The numerical simulations of the model support the results of clinical studies. Furthermore, we discuss the pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of chemotherapy and introduce cellular immunotherapy as treatments for boosting immune cells to fight against tumours. Our findings seem to indicate that the proposed model is a strong candidate for studying the dynamics of estrogen, and it helps in the provision of complex interactions of estrogen with breast tumours and immune cells.

Original languageEnglish
Article number111618
JournalChaos, Solitons and Fractals
Volume154
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2022
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Cancer
  • Endocrine system
  • Mathematical modelling
  • Numerical simulations
  • Sensitivity analysis
  • Stability analysis
  • Tumour-immune dynamics

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