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A moment independent based importance measure with hybrid uncertainty

  • Harbin Institute of Technology

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Input uncertainty always exists in most engineering problems and leads to output response uncertainty for model predictions. Several global sensitivity analysis methods are utilized to measure the importance of input aleatory uncertainty which influence output the most. However, the aleatory uncertainty often involves epistemic uncertainty in the distribution parameters due to the lack of knowledge. In this paper, an improved moment independent approach coupled with auxiliary variable method is presented to separate aleatory and epistemic terms of hybrid uncertainty. The importance measure is derived to compute the individual contributions of aleatory and epistemic parameters to model output’s uncertainty. Considering the high computation costs of moment independent method, a double loop sampling method is applied in the numerical codes to alleviate simulation. A modified Ishigami function is take for instance for demonstrating the effectiveness and rationality of proposed method and high efficiency of sampling algorithm.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationModeling, Design and Simulation of Systems - 17th Asia Simulation Conference, AsiaSim 2017, Proceedings
EditorsMohamed Sultan Mohamed Ali, Herman Wahid, Nurul Adilla Mohd Subha, Shafishuhaza Sahlan, Mohd Amri Md. Yunus, Ahmad Ridhwan Wahap
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages213-224
Number of pages12
ISBN (Print)9789811064623
DOIs
StatePublished - 2017
Event17th International Conference on Asia Simulation, AsiaSim 2017 - Melaka, Malaysia
Duration: 27 Aug 201729 Aug 2017

Publication series

NameCommunications in Computer and Information Science
Volume751
ISSN (Print)1865-0929

Conference

Conference17th International Conference on Asia Simulation, AsiaSim 2017
Country/TerritoryMalaysia
CityMelaka
Period27/08/1729/08/17

Keywords

  • Global sensitivity analysis
  • Hybrid uncertainty
  • Latin hypercube sampling
  • Moment independent method

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